Pre-tourney Rankings
Stephen F. Austin
Southland
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.8#54
Expected Predictive Rating+6.0#95
Pace68.5#217
Improvement+11.7#1

Offense
Total Offense+5.0#59
First Shot+3.4#80
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#66
Layup/Dunks+0.6#137
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#53
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#120
Freethrows-1.0#250
Improvement+5.2#5

Defense
Total Defense+4.8#56
First Shot+3.0#83
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#26
Layups/Dunks-3.6#314
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#53
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#25
Freethrows+0.6#124
Improvement+6.5#2
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 13.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round28.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen10.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight2.5% n/a n/a
Final Four0.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.2% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 13 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 20   @ Baylor L 55-97 22%     0 - 1 -24.2 -12.9 -10.3
  Nov 17, 2015 80   @ Northern Iowa L 60-70 49%     0 - 2 -0.1 -5.7 +5.4
  Nov 26, 2015 184   Western Michigan W 79-71 85%     1 - 2 +6.6 -0.8 +6.8
  Nov 27, 2015 192   Tulane L 59-60 86%     1 - 3 -2.9 -5.7 +2.7
  Nov 29, 2015 260   Appalachian St. W 94-84 92%     2 - 3 +3.9 +11.5 -8.3
  Dec 05, 2015 186   Texas Southern W 66-62 90%     3 - 3 -0.4 -7.2 +7.0
  Dec 22, 2015 86   @ Arizona St. L 73-80 51%     3 - 4 +2.5 +3.5 -0.9
  Dec 29, 2015 117   @ UAB L 66-76 64%     3 - 5 -3.9 -3.6 -0.5
  Jan 02, 2016 334   McNeese St. W 86-57 98%     4 - 5 1 - 0 +12.8 +4.5 +8.6
  Jan 04, 2016 322   @ SE Louisiana W 89-69 94%     5 - 5 2 - 0 +11.6 +16.6 -4.1
  Jan 12, 2016 327   Central Arkansas W 85-64 98%     6 - 5 3 - 0 +5.9 -4.6 +8.8
  Jan 16, 2016 316   Abilene Christian W 97-62 97%     7 - 5 4 - 0 +21.3 +26.1 -1.9
  Jan 18, 2016 326   @ New Orleans W 82-58 95%     8 - 5 5 - 0 +15.2 +5.6 +9.7
  Jan 23, 2016 225   Sam Houston St. W 76-64 93%     9 - 5 6 - 0 +5.4 +1.2 +4.4
  Jan 25, 2016 330   Lamar W 86-52 98%     10 - 5 7 - 0 +18.6 -1.6 +17.5
  Jan 30, 2016 177   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi W 66-61 77%     11 - 5 8 - 0 +7.1 +4.7 +3.0
  Feb 06, 2016 284   @ Houston Baptist W 72-66 91%     12 - 5 9 - 0 +1.0 -3.6 +4.7
  Feb 08, 2016 340   Northwestern St. W 83-72 98%     13 - 5 10 - 0 -5.8 -11.4 +4.4
  Feb 13, 2016 177   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 70-58 89%     14 - 5 11 - 0 +8.2 +5.2 +4.5
  Feb 15, 2016 267   Incarnate Word W 84-46 95%     15 - 5 12 - 0 +28.6 +7.5 +21.9
  Feb 20, 2016 333   @ Nicholls St. W 88-53 96%     16 - 5 13 - 0 +25.0 +6.6 +15.6
  Feb 22, 2016 330   @ Lamar W 79-58 95%     17 - 5 14 - 0 +11.4 -1.4 +12.1
  Feb 27, 2016 284   Houston Baptist W 82-54 96%     18 - 5 15 - 0 +17.1 +0.6 +16.2
  Feb 29, 2016 267   @ Incarnate Word W 84-58 89%     19 - 5 16 - 0 +22.4 +10.7 +12.3
  Mar 03, 2016 340   @ Northwestern St. W 95-55 96%     20 - 5 17 - 0 +29.0 +13.4 +15.7
  Mar 05, 2016 225   @ Sam Houston St. W 85-64 84%     21 - 5 18 - 0 +20.2 +14.4 +6.5
  Mar 11, 2016 284   Houston Baptist W 104-68 94%     22 - 5 +28.1 +18.5 +7.3
  Mar 12, 2016 177   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 82-60 84%     23 - 5 +21.2 +10.1 +11.0
Projected Record 23.0 - 5.0 18.0 - 0.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 100.0    100.0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 13.0 0.0 3.4 17.1 59.2 20.3 0.1
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 3.4 17.1 59.2 20.3 0.1